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Should You Buy a Home in Austin Right Now? Here's What I'm Seeing in 2026

6/29/2026

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If you've spent any time reading real estate headlines lately, you've probably seen two completely different stories. One says Austin is crashing. The other says prices are about to take off again. The reality, as usual, is somewhere in the middle.

As a real estate broker, I spend far less time reading headlines than I do walking through homes with buyers, negotiating contracts, and talking with sellers across the Austin metro. In any given week I might be in Circle C, Westlake, East Austin, Lakeway, Driftwood, North Loop, or Onion Creek. That gives me a front-row seat to what's actually happening—not just what the national media is reporting.

So, is now a good time to buy a home in Austin? For many buyers, I think the answer is yes.  The biggest reason has nothing to do with home prices. It's the amount of leverage buyers have today.

According to Unlock MLS, more than 3,500 homes sold across the Austin metro in May 2026, with a median sale price of $425,000 and a median of 35 days on market. Within the Austin city limits, the median sale price was $594,500, and homes sold more quickly, with a median of 22 days on market. Those numbers tell an important story: buyers still have plenty of options, but desirable homes inside Austin continue to move relatively quickly.

What I'm seeing every day reflects those numbers. Buyers are successfully negotiating seller-paid closing costs, repair concessions, and more favorable contract terms than we've seen in years. Sellers are often willing to work with buyers because they know there are more homes competing for attention.

That doesn't mean every house is sitting. In fact, the best homes are doing quite well. When a property is priced correctly, beautifully maintained, professionally marketed, and shows well, it can still generate multiple offers. Those homes stand out because buyers recognize quality immediately. The homes struggling in today's market tend to fall into two categories: they're overpriced, or they simply don't present well. Buyers have choices right now, and they're taking the time to compare them before making an offer.

One question I hear constantly is whether buyers should wait for mortgage rates to come down.  Personally, I don't think that's the best strategy.

The ultra-low interest rates we experienced during the pandemic were extraordinary. They weren't normal, and I don't expect we'll see those numbers become the standard again anytime soon. While today's mortgage rates are certainly higher than many buyers would like, they're much closer to historical norms than the once-in-a-generation rates we experienced a few years ago.

More importantly, waiting for rates to fall doesn't happen in a vacuum.  If mortgage rates decline meaningfully, it's reasonable to expect more buyers to re-enter the market. More competition typically means stronger demand, fewer negotiating opportunities, and upward pressure on prices. Waiting could mean saving a little on your interest rate while paying significantly more for the home itself.

That's why I encourage buyers to think less about timing the market and more about their own timeline.  If you're planning to stay in the home for five to ten years, buying when you're financially ready usually matters far more than trying to predict where mortgage rates or home prices will be six months from now. Real estate has always rewarded long-term ownership much more consistently than short-term market timing.

None of this means every buyer should rush out tomorrow. If you're uncertain about your job, don't have your down payment saved, or only expect to own the home for a couple of years, waiting may absolutely be the right decision. Buying a home should make sense for your life first and the market second.

But if you've been sitting on the sidelines solely because you're waiting for interest rates to drop, I'd encourage you to look at the entire picture. Today's buyers have negotiating power, more inventory to choose from, and the ability to be selective. Those advantages may not last forever.

The Austin market has changed dramatically over the past few years, but it hasn't stopped creating opportunities. In many ways, this feels like one of the healthiest markets we've had in quite some time. Buyers have options, sellers who price strategically are still finding success, and transactions are being driven by fundamentals instead of fear of missing out.
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No one can predict exactly where mortgage rates or home prices will be next year. What I can tell you is what I'm seeing every day: well-prepared buyers are finding great homes, negotiating favorable terms, and making confident decisions. For many people, that's a pretty good place to be.
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